Election Numbers Crunching: Republican Edition

The process through which we Americans nominate candidates for president is extraordinarily complicated, as 2016’s election is making excruciatingly clear. Comprehensive, readable results can be found at Real Clear Politics‘ “Election Central: 2016” page. I’ve put their delegate tables into an Excel spreadsheet in order to analyze the current state of both parties’ contests. Following are the results, which include Tuesday’sContinue reading “Election Numbers Crunching: Republican Edition”

Requiem for a Rubiobot

  Give Jeb Bush credit for something. He saw the writing on the wall and got the hell out before his home state of Florida could make a fool of him. Another Florida man, Marco Rubio, was not so wise. He and his media enablers blundered on in the vain hope that Rubio’s “accomplishments” and “moderation”Continue reading “Requiem for a Rubiobot”

Weekend Links

Today was the first day of classes at our English training school here in Dali, Yunnan Province. This semester I have three classes, each two hours. I am exhausted tonight. It usually takes me two weeks to get back into teaching shape. Teaching English as a foreign language to kids, you’re on your feet prettyContinue reading “Weekend Links”

Weekend Links

Congratulations to the staff of Ivy Language Academy here in Dali, Yunnan. This month we celebrate our second anniversary. We opened in March 2014 with 18 total students. We’re going to start this semester with at least 65 and probably more! The marketing team really humped it these past few weeks with clear, excellent results to show for itContinue reading “Weekend Links”

Super Tuesday and the Republicans’ Dilemma

Today’s voting could essentially render the ultimate results of both parties’ nomination contests foregone conclusions. Polls suggest Donald Trump will win strong pluralities nearly everywhere, Ted Cruz will win Texas and move into a clear second place in delegates, and Marco Rubio probably still won’t have a first place finish anywhere, yet mainstream pundits and Republican establishment types willContinue reading “Super Tuesday and the Republicans’ Dilemma”

So, Um, Trump’s Gonna Win?

Yes. Well, probably. At least, I don’t see how he doesn’t win the Republican nomination given current facts on the ground (the general election is a much different and much more unpredictable story). Donald Trump has won nearly every category of voter – and in Nevada, every category – so far that has come out for theContinue reading “So, Um, Trump’s Gonna Win?”

New Hampshire Recap

Want to know how absurd this 2016 Republican nomination contest has become? Here’s the spokesman for the fourth-place finisher in New Hampshire, whose campaign has spent way more money than any of the other candidates’ campaigns, arguing that the second-place New Hampshire finisher has no viable path to the nomination. That’s right, Jeb Bush’s campaign isContinue reading “New Hampshire Recap”

New Hampshire Preview

It’s been a tough time for predictions here at Swinging Dead Cats. Last week, in the Iowa Caucus preview, I had Donald Trump winning there only to see Ted Cruz score a big victory. I called Iowa a coin-flip between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders, so that one came out looking okay. But then, in my lastContinue reading “New Hampshire Preview”

Iowa Recap

Iowa Caucuses results are in and they are interesting. Any results are going to be interesting to election junkies, but these ones include a few genuine surprises. In yesterday’s preview post, I went with the polls and predicted victories for Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, though I specified that the Clinton-Bernie Sanders race was basically aContinue reading “Iowa Recap”