Weekend Links

Today was the first day of classes at our English training school here in Dali, Yunnan Province. This semester I have three classes, each two hours. I am exhausted tonight. It usually takes me two weeks to get back into teaching shape. Teaching English as a foreign language to kids, you’re on your feet prettyContinue reading “Weekend Links”

Sanders Makes Things Interesting; Broken Record Stays Stuck on “In the General Election, Vote the Party Not the Specific Candidate”

  As if the 2016 presidential nominating contests weren’t already interesting enough, candidate for the Democratic Party’s nomination Bernie Sanders went out and pulled off an extremely surprising victory in Michigan on Tuesday. For some perspective, Josh Marshall at TPM compares it with the early contests of the Barack Obama-Hillary Clinton battle in 2008. Harry EntenContinue reading “Sanders Makes Things Interesting; Broken Record Stays Stuck on “In the General Election, Vote the Party Not the Specific Candidate””

Weekend Links

Congratulations to the staff of Ivy Language Academy here in Dali, Yunnan. This month we celebrate our second anniversary. We opened in March 2014 with 18 total students. We’re going to start this semester with at least 65 and probably more! The marketing team really humped it these past few weeks with clear, excellent results to show for itContinue reading “Weekend Links”

Super Tuesday and the Republicans’ Dilemma

Today’s voting could essentially render the ultimate results of both parties’ nomination contests foregone conclusions. Polls suggest Donald Trump will win strong pluralities nearly everywhere, Ted Cruz will win Texas and move into a clear second place in delegates, and Marco Rubio probably still won’t have a first place finish anywhere, yet mainstream pundits and Republican establishment types willContinue reading “Super Tuesday and the Republicans’ Dilemma”

New Hampshire Recap

Want to know how absurd this 2016 Republican nomination contest has become? Here’s the spokesman for the fourth-place finisher in New Hampshire, whose campaign has spent way more money than any of the other candidates’ campaigns, arguing that the second-place New Hampshire finisher has no viable path to the nomination. That’s right, Jeb Bush’s campaign isContinue reading “New Hampshire Recap”

New Hampshire Preview

It’s been a tough time for predictions here at Swinging Dead Cats. Last week, in the Iowa Caucus preview, I had Donald Trump winning there only to see Ted Cruz score a big victory. I called Iowa a coin-flip between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders, so that one came out looking okay. But then, in my lastContinue reading “New Hampshire Preview”

Presidential Elections are Not National Psychodramas

  People say they “just don’t trust Hillary.” Are you hearing people say this? I’m hearing this – I’m hearing this a lot, actually. It’s disturbing because while there are reasons not to trust Hillary Clinton, there aren’t very many good reasons. Most of the “reasons” are nebulous, confused, based on erroneous information, or outright made up.Continue reading “Presidential Elections are Not National Psychodramas”

Morning Coffee in Jersey City Links

Nothing in particular to focus on this morning, so some links: Contra me, Matthew Yglesias over at Vox argues that Donald Trump’s performance in Iowa was impressive. Yglesias is right that by historical standards Trump did well in Iowa, where several factors favor a Ted Cruz-type or a Marco Rubio-type. However, doing well in relative terms is not going toContinue reading “Morning Coffee in Jersey City Links”

Iowa Recap

Iowa Caucuses results are in and they are interesting. Any results are going to be interesting to election junkies, but these ones include a few genuine surprises. In yesterday’s preview post, I went with the polls and predicted victories for Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton, though I specified that the Clinton-Bernie Sanders race was basically aContinue reading “Iowa Recap”

Iowa (Sorta) Matters Once Every Four Years

Today the people of Iowa go out and caucus for presidential candidates. Here’s a good primer on how everything works. Some quick takeaways: The caucuses don’t start until 7 p.m. Central Time. They’re complicated, especially on the Democratic side. There’s a chance that results in both caucuses won’t be known for a few days or even weeks,Continue reading “Iowa (Sorta) Matters Once Every Four Years”