I try to understand the coalitions of American voters that form to empower political parties and their politicians. By understanding the formation of past coalitions, I can sometimes predict the outcomes of future elections. At minimum, I can describe the important variables that impact future elections. My record of predictions and descriptions during the 2016 presidential election is good. If you’d like to see why I might be worth reading going forward, please check out these predictions and analyses:
- In August 2015, I knew that Trump was the frontrunner for the Republican Party’s nomination for president.
- I knew Trump was the frontrunner before most prominent analysts and pundits did.
For some useful descriptions of the state of American politics, political media, and political messaging, please see these posts:
- In the inaugural post for my former blog, I wrote about “both-sides-ism” and why it is not a useful way to understand modern American politics.
- I explained why voting for third-party candidates is a waste or worse.
- Swing voters in 2016 started thinking that John Kasich was a moderate, but he was anything but. A constant theme in American politics is candidates for elected office obscuring their radical agendas behind moderate veneers.
- Conventional wisdom is always wrong about the federal deficit, and radical candidates use it to their advantage.
For some insight into my own values and party preferences, please see these posts:
- This is a personal, evergreen essay on guns in American society.
- The most viewed and liked post on my old blog was about why Bernie Sanders supporters should have voted for Hillary Clinton in the 2016 general election after it became clear that she would win the nomination.
I’m sure that my attitudes and the value that I can add to your understanding of modern American politics will become clearer as I get this iteration of the blog up and running. Thank you for reading, and please come back!
Nonsense Consensus 